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A candidate slides along an equal-effect line toward the smallest tangent Fisher ellipse. Equal-length effect bars remain fixed while the candidate’s cost bar shrinks.
Equal-effect geometry · Exact mathematical model

Keep the first-order target effect fixed, then find the change with the smallest quadratic cost. The geometry gives an optimal candidate in this model, not a demonstrated improvement to Qwen.

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Exact quadratic model with F=(2.5.51)F=\begin{pmatrix}2&.5\\.5&1\end{pmatrix}, b=(1,.8)b=(1,.8), and b⊤d=.6b^\top d=.6. Ellipses show 12d⊤Fd\tfrac12d^\top Fd; the gold line fixes the linear effect. Its tangency with the smallest admissible ellipse gives d∗=.6F−1bb⊤F−1bd_* = \frac{.6F^{-1}b}{b^\top F^{-1}b}. The moving candidate preserves the target effect while reducing quadratic cost; synchronized bars show both. These are calculated candidates, not measurements of Astra’s edit or an optimization record. The KL interpretation is local.
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